With less than 24 hours until polls open nationwide, the battle for the White House between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump is still extremely tight.
Vice President Harris and former President Trump are statistically matched in a last round of national polls as the contenders try to win over any remaining undecided voters.
Harris was discovered to be ahead of Trump in Iowa, a surprise reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a surefire Trump win, even while national polls still suggest a battle that is far too close to call.
Trump is conducting four rallies in crucial swing states as the contenders sprint to the final line. He will begin in North Carolina, go to Pennsylvania for two campaign visits, and end the day in Michigan. In the meanwhile, Harris will hold rallies in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia before performing live in Allentown to wrap up her campaign in Pennsylvania.
Trump trails Harris 49%–46% in an ABC News/Ipsos survey.
According to a new ABC News/Ipsos survey released on Sunday, Harris is ahead of Trump by three percentage points.
One day before the election, Harris led Trump 49%–46% in a poll of 2,267 potential voters. The survey, which was conducted from Tuesday through Friday, revealed that Harris’ lead was outside the 2-point margin of error.
“That scant 3-point difference with Trump matches the average Democratic-Republican gap in the last eight presidential elections, of which Democrats won the popular vote in seven,” according to ABC News. “Regardless, the result leaves a wide-open field for the vagaries of the Electoral College.”
The poll stated, “A dispirited electorate marks the end of the 2024 presidential campaign,” noting that 60% of likely voters are unhappy with their choice of candidates and 74% of likely voters believe the nation is headed in the wrong direction.
Voters’ opinions regarding the economy, however, are also correlated with their political membership; 78% of Trump supporters feel they have gotten less well off under Biden, compared to just 8% of Harris backers. In an attempt to set herself apart from Biden, 34% of respondents said they believed that if elected, the vice president would keep things as they are, 35% said she would shake things up positively, and 31% said she would shake things up negatively.
Harris and Trump were deadlocked in the final NBC News survey.
According to a new NBC News survey issued on Sunday, 49% of registered voters support both Trump and Harris, leaving them even.
The margin of error for the survey, which was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday among 1,000 registered voters, was 3.1 percentage points.
According to the poll, the campaign was characterized by extreme polarization, with men’s and women’s voting preferences differing by more than 30 percent. Additionally, according to the study, 60% of respondents think the nation would remain divided regardless of the outcome of the presidential election.
According to the study, voter sentiment has not moved much since last month, “despite the frenzied campaign activity of the final weeks and the billions of dollars in advertisements.”
“We’ve picked our corner and become more distant,” Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies stated. “Neither side moves or budges, and they are as locked down as it gets.”
Harris maintains slight lead over Trump in final Morning Consult poll
The final Morning Consult poll, which was issued on Sunday, showed Harris ahead of Trump by two percentage points.
The vice president led the former president 49%–47% in the poll of 8,918 likely voters, which is beyond the 1-point margin of error.
The poll, which was conducted from Tuesday to Thursday, found that “the majority of likely voters (45%) said they have heard something positive about Harris recently, maintaining the positive buzz advantage she’s held throughout the campaign as it reaches its final weeks.”
In the meantime, 49% of respondents said they had recently heard something unfavorable about Trump.
When it comes to the economy, national security, crime, and particularly immigration, Republicans are preferred over Democrats. Democrats continue to have the upper hand when it comes to abortion, entitlement programs, health care, and climate change.
Candidates tied in final Emerson poll
According to the final Emerson College Polling poll, which was issued on Sunday, Harris and Trump are tied at 49%.
When asked who they expected to win, the 1,000 likely voters in the poll reached an almost identical impasse: 50% said they expected Trump to win, while 49% said they expected Harris to win. The survey, which was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday, had a 3-percentage-point margin of error.
With 50% of voters favoring Harris and 48% favoring Trump, Harris enjoys a tiny advantage over Trump in terms of favorability ratings.
According to Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, the results “point to an incredibly close race.” “With women favoring Harris by 12 points and men supporting Trump by the same margin, the gender gap is glaring.”
Voters’ top concerns as we approach election day are the economy at 40%, followed by immigration at 17%, dangers to democracy at 16%, access to abortion at 7%, and healthcare at 5%.
